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PRICE, PAUL C

PRICE, PAUL C

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Perceived event frequency and the optimistic bias: evidence for a two-process model of personal risk judgments

Price, Paul; Pentecost, Heather C.; Voth, Rochelle D. (Elsevier, )

People often judge themselves to be at lower risk for various negative life events than are their peers. The two empirical studies presented here show that the magnitude of this optimistic bias can be either negatively or ...
Effects of a relative-frequency elicitation question on likelihood judgment accuracy: the case of external correspondence

Price, Paul (Elsevier, )

In three experiments, college students judged the likelihood that they chose the correct alternative for each of 40 two-alternative, general-knowledge items. They responded either to a relative-frequency elicitation question ...
Wishful thinking in the prediction of competitive outcomes

Price, Paul (Taylor & Francis, 2000)

In each of two experiments, college students were assigned to two ad hoc groups (Team A and Team B) that competed in a dart-throwing contest. On each trial, one contestant from each team threw a single dart at a standard ...
A group size effect on personal risk judgments: implications for unrealistic optimism

Price, Paul (Springer Verlag, )

In Experiments 1 and 2, college students (N = 32 and N = 18, respectively) read heart attack risk profiles (i.e., lists of risk factors) for each of several employees at a series of fictional companies and judged the heart ...
Intuitive evaluation of likelihood judgment producers: evidence for a confidence heuristic

Price, Paul; Stone, Eric R. (Wiley, )

This research tests the hypothesis of Yates et al. (1996) that people prefer judgment producers who make extreme confidence judgments. In each of three experiments, college students evaluated two fictional financial advisors ...

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